Estimated Flare Probability ("Lev" 2.0)

based on                            A[%]        B[%]        C[%]        M[%]        X[%]      median
--------------------------         -----       -----       -----       -----       -----      ------
LYRA ch2-3 =    0.00226880          18          49          29           4           0        B5.1
LYRA ch2-4 =   0.000821114          14          43          33          10           0        B7.0
GOES Xray  =   2.77541e-08          61          36           2           1           0      < B1.0 (no flare)
est. ISN   =            12          21          58          19           2           0        B2.9
 
together                            28.50       46.50       20.75        4.25        0.00     B2.7
 
realized                                                                                    < B1.0 (no flare)