Estimated Flare Probability ("Lev" 2.0)

based on                            A[%]        B[%]        C[%]        M[%]        X[%]      median
--------------------------         -----       -----       -----       -----       -----      ------
LYRA ch2-3 =    0.00227011          18          47          32           3           0        B5.3
LYRA ch2-4 =   0.000825186          13          46          34           7           0        B6.8
GOES Xray  =   3.67286e-08          61          36           2           1           0      < B1.0 (no flare)
est. ISN   =            10          29          51          18           2           0        B2.5
 
together                            30.25       45.00       21.50        3.25        0.00     B2.7
 
realized                                                                                    < B1.0 (no flare)