Estimated Flare Probability ("Lev" 2.0)

based on                            A[%]        B[%]        C[%]        M[%]        X[%]      median
--------------------------         -----       -----       -----       -----       -----      ------
LYRA ch2-3 =    0.00226864          18          49          29           4           0        B5.1
LYRA ch2-4 =   0.000824688          13          45          35           7           0        B6.8
GOES Xray  =   4.75868e-08          52          43           4           1           0      < B1.0 (no flare)
est. ISN   =             7          51          40           9           0           0      < B1.0 (no flare)
 
together                            33.50       44.25       19.25        3.00        0.00     B2.1
 
realized                                                                                      B1.4