Estimated Flare Probability ("Lev" 2.0)

based on                            A[%]        B[%]        C[%]        M[%]        X[%]      median
--------------------------         -----       -----       -----       -----       -----      ------
LYRA ch2-3 =    0.00226814          19          47          30           4           0        B5.2
LYRA ch2-4 =   0.000824418          13          44          35           8           0        B7.0
GOES Xray  =   3.46212e-08          61          36           2           1           0      < B1.0 (no flare)
est. ISN   =             8          50          41           9           0           0        B1.0
 
together                            35.75       42.00       19.00        3.25        0.00     B2.0
 
realized                                                                                      B2.2