Estimated Flare Probability ("Lev" 2.0)

based on                            A[%]        B[%]        C[%]        M[%]        X[%]      median
--------------------------         -----       -----       -----       -----       -----      ------
LYRA ch2-3 =    0.00226894          18          48          30           4           0        B5.2
LYRA ch2-4 =   0.000827375          13          46          34           7           0        B6.8
GOES Xray  =   2.70471e-08          61          36           2           1           0      < B1.0 (no flare)
est. ISN   =             8          50          41           9           0           0        B1.0
 
together                            35.50       42.75       18.75        3.00        0.00     B2.0
 
realized                                                                                    < B1.0 (no flare)