Estimated Flare Probability ("Lev" 2.0)

based on                            A[%]        B[%]        C[%]        M[%]        X[%]      median
--------------------------         -----       -----       -----       -----       -----      ------
LYRA ch2-3 =    0.00226890          18          48          30           4           0        B5.2
LYRA ch2-4 =   0.000828474          13          45          34           8           0        B6.8
GOES Xray  =   2.59671e-08          61          36           2           1           0      < B1.0 (no flare)
est. ISN   =             7          51          40           9           0           0      < B1.0 (no flare)
 
together                            35.75       42.25       18.75        3.25        0.00     B2.0
 
realized                                                                                      B2.3