Estimated Flare Probability ("Lev" 2.0)

based on                            A[%]        B[%]        C[%]        M[%]        X[%]      median
--------------------------         -----       -----       -----       -----       -----      ------
LYRA ch2-3 =    0.00226749          19          46          31           4           0        B5.3
LYRA ch2-4 =   0.000820600          14          43          33          10           0        B7.0
GOES Xray  =   1.53527e-08          61          36           2           1           0      < B1.0 (no flare)
est. ISN   =             3          51          40           9           0           0      < B1.0 (no flare)
 
together                            36.25       41.25       18.75        3.75        0.00     B2.0
 
realized                                                                                    < B1.0 (no flare)