Estimated Flare Probability ("Lev" 2.0)

based on                            A[%]        B[%]        C[%]        M[%]        X[%]      median
--------------------------         -----       -----       -----       -----       -----      ------
LYRA ch2-3 =    0.00226981          18          48          31           3           0        B5.2
LYRA ch2-4 =   0.000811413          18          45          29           8           0        B5.3
GOES Xray  =   4.23045e-08          55          41           3           1           0      < B1.0 (no flare)
est. ISN   =             0          51          40           9           0           0      < B1.0 (no flare)
 
together                            35.50       43.50       18.00        3.00        0.00     B2.0
 
realized                                                                                      B4.3