Estimated Flare Probability ("Lev" 2.0)

based on                            A[%]        B[%]        C[%]        M[%]        X[%]      median
--------------------------         -----       -----       -----       -----       -----      ------
LYRA ch2-3 =    0.00227176          17          48          31           4           0        B5.5
LYRA ch2-4 =   0.000817149          18          45          28           9           0        B5.3
GOES Xray  =   4.89165e-08          47          46           6           1           0        B1.1
est. ISN   =             6          51          40           9           0           0      < B1.0 (no flare)
 
together                            33.25       44.75       18.50        3.50        0.00     B2.2
 
realized                                                                                      B1.6