Estimated Flare Probability ("Lev" 2.0)

based on                            A[%]        B[%]        C[%]        M[%]        X[%]      median
--------------------------         -----       -----       -----       -----       -----      ------
LYRA ch2-3 =    0.00227207          17          47          32           4           0        B5.8
LYRA ch2-4 =   0.000818821          17          44          30           9           0        B6.1
GOES Xray  =   5.51358e-08          33          59           8           0           0        B1.6
est. ISN   =             2          51          40           9           0           0      < B1.0 (no flare)
 
together                            29.50       47.50       19.75        3.25        0.00     B2.6
 
realized                                                                                      B4.7