Estimated Flare Probability ("Lev" 2.0)

based on                            A[%]        B[%]        C[%]        M[%]        X[%]      median
--------------------------         -----       -----       -----       -----       -----      ------
LYRA ch2-3 =    0.00227093          16          48          33           3           0        B5.3
LYRA ch2-4 =   0.000818210          17          44          30           9           0        B6.1
GOES Xray  =   4.10073e-08          56          41           2           1           0      < B1.0 (no flare)
est. ISN   =             3          51          40           9           0           0      < B1.0 (no flare)
 
together                            35.00       43.25       18.50        3.25        0.00     B2.0
 
realized                                                                                      B2.9