Estimated Flare Probability ("Lev" 2.0)

based on                            A[%]        B[%]        C[%]        M[%]        X[%]      median
--------------------------         -----       -----       -----       -----       -----      ------
LYRA ch2-3 =    0.00227061          16          48          33           3           0        B5.3
LYRA ch2-4 =   0.000817402          18          45          28           9           0        B5.3
GOES Xray  =   4.21351e-08          55          41           3           1           0      < B1.0 (no flare)
est. ISN   =             0          51          40           9           0           0      < B1.0 (no flare)
 
together                            35.00       43.50       18.25        3.25        0.00     B2.0
 
realized                                                                                      C1.0