Estimated Flare Probability ("Lev" 2.0)

based on                            A[%]        B[%]        C[%]        M[%]        X[%]      median
--------------------------         -----       -----       -----       -----       -----      ------
LYRA ch2-3 =    0.00226877          18          49          29           4           0        B5.1
LYRA ch2-4 =   0.000809031          20          42          33           5           0        B5.3
GOES Xray  =   1.28835e-08          61          36           2           1           0      < B1.0 (no flare)
est. ISN   =            13          20          62          17           1           0        B2.7
 
together                            29.75       47.25       20.25        2.75        0.00     B2.6
 
realized                                                                                    < B1.0 (no flare)