Estimated Flare Probability ("Lev" 2.0)

based on                            A[%]        B[%]        C[%]        M[%]        X[%]      median
--------------------------         -----       -----       -----       -----       -----      ------
LYRA ch2-3 =    0.00226995          18          47          32           3           0        B5.3
LYRA ch2-4 =   0.000813266          18          44          29           9           0        B5.3
GOES Xray  =   2.03204e-08          61          36           2           1           0      < B1.0 (no flare)
est. ISN   =            10          29          51          18           2           0        B2.5
 
together                            31.50       44.50       20.25        3.75        0.00     B2.7
 
realized                                                                                    < B1.0 (no flare)