Estimated Flare Probability ("Lev" 2.0)

based on                            A[%]        B[%]        C[%]        M[%]        X[%]      median
--------------------------         -----       -----       -----       -----       -----      ------
LYRA ch2-3 =    0.00226939          18          49          30           3           0        B5.1
LYRA ch2-4 =   0.000813216          18          44          29           9           0        B5.3
GOES Xray  =   1.36471e-08          61          36           2           1           0      < B1.0 (no flare)
est. ISN   =            10          29          51          18           2           0        B2.5
 
together                            31.50       45.00       19.75        3.75        0.00     B2.6
 
realized                                                                                    < B1.0 (no flare)