Estimated Flare Probability ("Lev" 2.0)


based on                            A[%]        B[%]        C[%]        M[%]        X[%]      median
--------------------------         -----       -----       -----       -----       -----      ------
LYRA ch2-3 =    0.00226938          18          49          30           3           0        B5.1
LYRA ch2-4 =   0.000811132          18          44          30           8           0        B5.3
GOES Xray  =   1.39361e-08          61          36           2           1           0      < B1.0 (no flare)
est. ISN   =             0          51          40           9           0           0      < B1.0 (no flare)
 
together                            37.00       42.25       17.75        3.00        0.00     B1.9
 
realized                                                                                      B1.4