Estimated Flare Probability ("Lev" 2.0)

based on                            A[%]        B[%]        C[%]        M[%]        X[%]      median
--------------------------         -----       -----       -----       -----       -----      ------
LYRA ch2-3 =    0.00227086          16          48          33           3           0        B5.3
LYRA ch2-4 =   0.000815265          18          45          28           9           0        B5.3
GOES Xray  =   2.08160e-08          61          36           2           1           0      < B1.0 (no flare)
est. ISN   =             3          51          40           9           0           0      < B1.0 (no flare)
 
together                            36.50       42.25       18.00        3.25        0.00     B2.0
 
realized                                                                                      B1.7