Estimated Flare Probability ("Lev" 2.0)


based on                            A[%]        B[%]        C[%]        M[%]        X[%]      median
--------------------------         -----       -----       -----       -----       -----      ------
LYRA ch2-3 =    0.00227131          17          47          32           4           0        B5.3
LYRA ch2-4 =   0.000815402          18          45          28           9           0        B5.3
GOES Xray  =   2.32141e-08          61          36           2           1           0      < B1.0 (no flare)
est. ISN   =             7          51          40           9           0           0      < B1.0 (no flare)
 
together                            36.75       42.00       17.75        3.50        0.00     B1.9
 
realized                                                                                      C3.5