Estimated Flare Probability ("Lev" 2.0)

based on                            A[%]        B[%]        C[%]        M[%]        X[%]      median
--------------------------         -----       -----       -----       -----       -----      ------
LYRA ch2-3 =    0.00227299          16          47          33           4           0        B5.8
LYRA ch2-4 =   0.000820473          14          43          33          10           0        B7.0
GOES Xray  =   2.78014e-08          61          36           2           1           0      < B1.0 (no flare)
est. ISN   =             8          50          41           9           0           0        B1.0
 
together                            35.25       41.75       19.25        3.75        0.00     B2.1
 
realized                                                                                      B1.3