Estimated Flare Probability ("Lev" 2.0)

based on                            A[%]        B[%]        C[%]        M[%]        X[%]      median
--------------------------         -----       -----       -----       -----       -----      ------
LYRA ch2-3 =    0.00227340          17          48          31           4           0        B5.3
LYRA ch2-4 =   0.000820219          14          43          33          10           0        B7.0
GOES Xray  =   3.34977e-08          61          36           2           1           0      < B1.0 (no flare)
est. ISN   =            10          29          51          18           2           0        B2.5
 
together                            30.25       44.50       21.00        4.25        0.00     B2.7
 
realized                                                                                      B4.0