Estimated Flare Probability ("Lev" 2.0)

based on                            A[%]        B[%]        C[%]        M[%]        X[%]      median
--------------------------         -----       -----       -----       -----       -----      ------
LYRA ch2-3 =    0.00227465          17          47          32           4           0        B5.8
LYRA ch2-4 =   0.000823938          12          45          35           8           0        B7.0
GOES Xray  =   3.65889e-08          61          36           2           1           0      < B1.0 (no flare)
est. ISN   =             9          37          46          15           2           0        B1.6
 
together                            31.75       43.50       21.00        3.75        0.00     B2.7
 
realized                                                                                      B2.8