Estimated Flare Probability ("Lev" 2.0)

based on                            A[%]        B[%]        C[%]        M[%]        X[%]      median
--------------------------         -----       -----       -----       -----       -----      ------
LYRA ch2-3 =    0.00227313          16          47          33           4           0        B5.8
LYRA ch2-4 =   0.000819685          15          44          32           9           0        B6.8
GOES Xray  =   3.08936e-08          61          36           2           1           0      < B1.0 (no flare)
est. ISN   =             7          51          40           9           0           0      < B1.0 (no flare)
 
together                            35.75       41.75       19.00        3.50        0.00     B2.1
 
realized                                                                                      B3.6