Estimated Flare Probability ("Lev" 2.0)

based on                            A[%]        B[%]        C[%]        M[%]        X[%]      median
--------------------------         -----       -----       -----       -----       -----      ------
LYRA ch2-3 =    0.00227368          17          48          31           4           0        B5.3
LYRA ch2-4 =   0.000818734          17          44          30           9           0        B6.1
GOES Xray  =   1.88512e-08          61          36           2           1           0      < B1.0 (no flare)
est. ISN   =            13          20          62          17           1           0        B2.7
 
together                            28.75       47.50       20.00        3.75        0.00     B2.7
 
realized                                                                                      B2.3