Estimated Flare Probability ("Lev" 2.0)

based on                            A[%]        B[%]        C[%]        M[%]        X[%]      median
--------------------------         -----       -----       -----       -----       -----      ------
LYRA ch2-3 =    0.00228444          14          42          40           4           0        B7.0
LYRA ch2-4 =   0.000838788          14          47          32           7           0        B6.8
GOES Xray  =   9.81763e-08           7          60          29           4           0        B5.3
est. ISN   =            17          17          63          17           3           0        B2.9
 
together                            13.00       53.00       29.50        4.50        0.00     B5.3
 
realized                                                                                      C1.4