Estimated Flare Probability ("Lev" 2.0)

based on                            A[%]        B[%]        C[%]        M[%]        X[%]      median
--------------------------         -----       -----       -----       -----       -----      ------
LYRA ch2-3 =    0.00228751          12          44          40           4           0        B6.8
LYRA ch2-4 =   0.000845008          13          49          31           7           0        B6.8
GOES Xray  =   1.65138e-07          12          57          25           6           0        B6.8
est. ISN   =            22           8          54          34           4           0        B6.5
 
together                            11.25       51.00       32.50        5.25        0.00     B6.8
 
realized                                                                                      C4.3