Estimated Flare Probability ("Lev" 2.0)

based on                            A[%]        B[%]        C[%]        M[%]        X[%]      median
--------------------------         -----       -----       -----       -----       -----      ------
LYRA ch2-3 =    0.00228429          14          42          40           4           0        B7.0
LYRA ch2-4 =   0.000843048          13          48          32           7           0        B7.0
GOES Xray  =   1.14710e-07           7          58          33           2           0        B5.8
est. ISN   =            19          15          59          23           3           0        B3.6
 
together                            12.25       51.75       32.00        4.00        0.00     B5.6
 
realized                                                                                      B3.7