Estimated Flare Probability ("Lev" 2.0)

based on                            A[%]        B[%]        C[%]        M[%]        X[%]      median
--------------------------         -----       -----       -----       -----       -----      ------
LYRA ch2-3 =    0.00228789          12          43          41           4           0        B7.0
LYRA ch2-4 =   0.000850638          13          52          30           5           0        B6.3
GOES Xray  =   1.26825e-07           6          63          31           0           0        B5.9
est. ISN   =             1          51          40           9           0           0      < B1.0 (no flare)
 
together                            20.50       49.50       27.75        2.25        0.00     B4.4
 
realized                                                                                      C3.4