Estimated Flare Probability ("Lev" 2.0)

based on                            A[%]        B[%]        C[%]        M[%]        X[%]      median
--------------------------         -----       -----       -----       -----       -----      ------
LYRA ch2-3 =    0.00229533          12          40          40           8           0        B8.4
LYRA ch2-4 =   0.000862272          13          46          36           5           0        B7.3
GOES Xray  =   2.15458e-07           2          43          49           6           0        C1.1
est. ISN   =             5          51          40           9           0           0      < B1.0 (no flare)
 
together                            19.50       42.25       33.50        4.75        0.00     B6.0
 
realized                                                                                      B4.5