Estimated Flare Probability ("Lev" 2.0)

based on                            A[%]        B[%]        C[%]        M[%]        X[%]      median
--------------------------         -----       -----       -----       -----       -----      ------
LYRA ch2-3 =    0.00229527          12          40          40           8           0        B8.4
LYRA ch2-4 =   0.000854145          14          49          34           3           0        B6.3
GOES Xray  =   1.99928e-07           3          45          47           5           0        C1.0
est. ISN   =            22           8          54          34           4           0        B6.5
 
together                             9.25       47.00       38.75        5.00        0.00     B7.9
 
realized                                                                                      C2.8