Estimated Flare Probability ("Lev" 2.0)

based on                            A[%]        B[%]        C[%]        M[%]        X[%]      median
--------------------------         -----       -----       -----       -----       -----      ------
LYRA ch2-3 =    0.00228761          12          44          40           4           0        B7.0
LYRA ch2-4 =   0.000856398          14          49          34           3           0        B6.3
GOES Xray  =   1.59635e-07          11          59          25           5           0        B7.0
est. ISN   =            15          19          62          17           2           0        B2.8
 
together                            14.00       53.50       29.00        3.50        0.00     B5.8
 
realized                                                                                    < B1.0 (no flare)