Estimated Flare Probability ("Lev" 2.0)

based on                            A[%]        B[%]        C[%]        M[%]        X[%]      median
--------------------------         -----       -----       -----       -----       -----      ------
LYRA ch2-3 =    0.00228443          14          42          40           4           0        B7.0
LYRA ch2-4 =   0.000855239          14          49          34           3           0        B6.3
GOES Xray  =   1.64533e-07          12          57          25           6           0        B6.8
est. ISN   =            15          19          62          17           2           0        B2.8
 
together                            14.75       52.50       29.00        3.75        0.00     B5.9
 
realized                                                                                      C2.6