Estimated Flare Probability ("Lev" 2.0)

based on                            A[%]        B[%]        C[%]        M[%]        X[%]      median
--------------------------         -----       -----       -----       -----       -----      ------
LYRA ch2-3 =    0.00227970          14          46          36           4           0        B6.0
LYRA ch2-4 =   0.000852047          13          49          35           3           0        B7.0
GOES Xray  =   1.20428e-07           8          58          34           0           0        B6.1
est. ISN   =            18          18          59          20           3           0        B3.2
 
together                            13.25       53.00       31.25        2.50        0.00     B5.6
 
realized                                                                                      C2.5