Estimated Flare Probability ("Lev" 2.0)


based on                            A[%]        B[%]        C[%]        M[%]        X[%]      median
--------------------------         -----       -----       -----       -----       -----      ------
LYRA ch2-3 =    0.00227763          16          47          33           4           0        B5.8
LYRA ch2-4 =   0.000854897          13          49          35           3           0        B6.6
GOES Xray  =   1.02707e-07           6          59          31           4           0        B5.3
est. ISN   =            10          29          51          18           2           0        B2.5
 
together                            16.00       51.50       29.25        3.25        0.00     B5.0
 
realized                                                                                      B1.8