Estimated Flare Probability ("Lev" 2.0)

based on                            A[%]        B[%]        C[%]        M[%]        X[%]      median
--------------------------         -----       -----       -----       -----       -----      ------
LYRA ch2-3 =    0.00227811          15          47          34           4           0        B5.8
LYRA ch2-4 =   0.000858392          14          49          33           4           0        B6.0
GOES Xray  =   1.11830e-07           7          56          35           2           0        B5.6
est. ISN   =             3          51          40           9           0           0      < B1.0 (no flare)
 
together                            21.75       48.00       27.75        2.50        0.00     B4.2
 
realized                                                                                      B3.3