Estimated Flare Probability ("Lev" 2.0)

based on                            A[%]        B[%]        C[%]        M[%]        X[%]      median
--------------------------         -----       -----       -----       -----       -----      ------
LYRA ch2-3 =    0.00227058          16          48          33           3           0        B5.3
LYRA ch2-4 =   0.000848067          13          49          31           7           0        B6.8
GOES Xray  =   4.84780e-08          48          46           5           1           0        B1.1
est. ISN   =             6          51          40           9           0           0      < B1.0 (no flare)
 
together                            32.00       45.75       19.50        2.75        0.00     B2.2
 
realized                                                                                    < B1.0 (no flare)