Estimated Flare Probability ("Lev" 2.0)

based on                            A[%]        B[%]        C[%]        M[%]        X[%]      median
--------------------------         -----       -----       -----       -----       -----      ------
LYRA ch2-3 =    0.00227319          16          48          32           4           0        B5.8
LYRA ch2-4 =   0.000850562          13          52          30           5           0        B6.3
GOES Xray  =   8.75719e-08           5          64          27           4           0        B4.4
est. ISN   =             6          51          40           9           0           0      < B1.0 (no flare)
 
together                            21.25       51.00       24.50        3.25        0.00     B3.8
 
realized                                                                                      C1.9