Estimated Flare Probability ("Lev" 2.0)


based on                            A[%]        B[%]        C[%]        M[%]        X[%]      median
--------------------------         -----       -----       -----       -----       -----      ------
LYRA ch2-3 =    0.00231114           9          38          42          11           0        C1.2
LYRA ch2-4 =   0.000921850           6          48          40           6           0        B9.3
GOES Xray  =   3.60351e-07           2           5          75          18           0        C2.8
est. ISN   =            25           7          55          32           6           0        B6.5
 
together                             6.00       36.50       47.25       10.25        0.00     C1.4
 
realized                                                                                      C4.3