Estimated Flare Probability ("Lev" 2.0)

based on                            A[%]        B[%]        C[%]        M[%]        X[%]      median
--------------------------         -----       -----       -----       -----       -----      ------
LYRA ch2-3 =    0.00230999           9          39          41          11           0        C1.2
LYRA ch2-4 =   0.000929317           3          43          45           9           0        C1.5
GOES Xray  =   3.53575e-07           3           4          77          16           0        C2.5
est. ISN   =            25           7          55          32           6           0        B6.5
 
together                             5.50       35.25       48.75       10.50        0.00     C1.5
 
realized                                                                                      C3.4