Estimated Flare Probability ("Lev" 2.0)

based on                            A[%]        B[%]        C[%]        M[%]        X[%]      median
--------------------------         -----       -----       -----       -----       -----      ------
LYRA ch2-3 =    0.00231216           9          39          41          11           0        C1.2
LYRA ch2-4 =   0.000934467           4          40          47           9           0        C1.5
GOES Xray  =   3.95150e-07           1           3          76          19           1        C3.2
est. ISN   =            29           7          48          38           7           0        B7.4
 
together                             5.25       32.50       50.50       11.50        0.25     C1.6
 
realized                                                                                      C3.8