Estimated Flare Probability ("Lev" 2.0)

based on                            A[%]        B[%]        C[%]        M[%]        X[%]      median
--------------------------         -----       -----       -----       -----       -----      ------
LYRA ch2-3 =    0.00230855          10          39          40          11           0        C1.0
LYRA ch2-4 =   0.000928830           4          42          45           9           0        C1.4
GOES Xray  =   3.31742e-07           4           8          74          14           0        C2.2
est. ISN   =            38           6          50          37           7           0        B8.8
 
together                             6.00       34.75       49.00       10.25        0.00     C1.4
 
realized                                                                                      C1.5