Estimated Flare Probability ("Lev" 2.0)

based on                            A[%]        B[%]        C[%]        M[%]        X[%]      median
--------------------------         -----       -----       -----       -----       -----      ------
LYRA ch2-3 =    0.00231782           7          42          43           8           0        C1.1
LYRA ch2-4 =   0.000946087           1          35          52          12           0        C1.6
GOES Xray  =   3.95431e-07           1           3          76          19           1        C3.2
est. ISN   =            50           2          15          69          13           1        C2.0
 
together                             2.75       23.75       60.00       13.00        0.50     C2.0
 
realized                                                                                      C3.1