Estimated Flare Probability ("Lev" 2.0)

based on                            A[%]        B[%]        C[%]        M[%]        X[%]      median
--------------------------         -----       -----       -----       -----       -----      ------
LYRA ch2-3 =    0.00232362           5          40          47           8           0        C1.2
LYRA ch2-4 =   0.000960312           2          30          53          14           1        C1.8
GOES Xray  =   4.47389e-07           1           1          82          14           2        C4.1
est. ISN   =            56           2          19          62          16           1        C2.7
 
together                             2.50       22.50       61.00       13.00        1.00     C2.5
 
realized                                                                                      M4.4