Estimated Flare Probability ("Lev" 2.0)

based on                            A[%]        B[%]        C[%]        M[%]        X[%]      median
--------------------------         -----       -----       -----       -----       -----      ------
LYRA ch2-3 =    0.00230852          10          39          40          11           0        C1.0
LYRA ch2-4 =   0.000938658           2          39          50           9           0        C1.5
GOES Xray  =   3.03520e-07           3          13          74          10           0        C1.9
est. ISN   =            28           7          54          32           7           0        B6.3
 
together                             5.50       36.25       49.00        9.25        0.00     C1.3
 
realized                                                                                      C3.8