Estimated Flare Probability ("Lev" 2.0)

based on                            A[%]        B[%]        C[%]        M[%]        X[%]      median
--------------------------         -----       -----       -----       -----       -----      ------
LYRA ch2-3 =    0.00230534          11          41          37          11           0        B9.0
LYRA ch2-4 =   0.000933054           3          42          46           9           0        C1.5
GOES Xray  =   2.72818e-07           1          34          58           7           0        C1.3
est. ISN   =            24           8          54          33           5           0        B6.5
 
together                             5.75       42.75       43.50        8.00        0.00     C1.1
 
realized                                                                                      C1.7