Estimated Flare Probability ("Lev" 2.0)

based on                            A[%]        B[%]        C[%]        M[%]        X[%]      median
--------------------------         -----       -----       -----       -----       -----      ------
LYRA ch2-3 =    0.00229933          12          39          40           9           0        B9.0
LYRA ch2-4 =   0.000923007           6          49          39           6           0        B9.2
GOES Xray  =   2.24963e-07           4          41          50           5           0        C1.1
est. ISN   =            20          13          57          27           3           0        B4.6
 
together                             8.75       46.50       39.00        5.75        0.00     B8.4
 
realized                                                                                      B6.2