Estimated Flare Probability ("Lev" 2.0)

based on                            A[%]        B[%]        C[%]        M[%]        X[%]      median
--------------------------         -----       -----       -----       -----       -----      ------
LYRA ch2-3 =    0.00229980          12          39          40           9           0        B9.0
LYRA ch2-4 =   0.000923677           6          48          40           6           0        B9.3
GOES Xray  =   2.37452e-07           4          31          57           8           0        C1.4
est. ISN   =            20          13          57          27           3           0        B4.6
 
together                             8.75       43.75       41.00        6.50        0.00     B9.0
 
realized                                                                                      C1.6