Estimated Flare Probability ("Lev" 2.0)

based on                            A[%]        B[%]        C[%]        M[%]        X[%]      median
--------------------------         -----       -----       -----       -----       -----      ------
LYRA ch2-3 =    0.00227400          16          48          32           4           0        B5.8
LYRA ch2-4 =   0.000866453          12          46          39           3           0        B7.1
GOES Xray  =   5.98431e-08          24          63          12           1           0        B1.8
est. ISN   =             6          51          40           9           0           0      < B1.0 (no flare)
 
together                            25.75       49.25       23.00        2.00        0.00     B2.9
 
realized                                                                                      B1.6