Estimated Flare Probability ("Lev" 2.0)

based on                            A[%]        B[%]        C[%]        M[%]        X[%]      median
--------------------------         -----       -----       -----       -----       -----      ------
LYRA ch2-3 =    0.00227274          17          47          32           4           0        B5.8
LYRA ch2-4 =   0.000862419          13          46          36           5           0        B7.3
GOES Xray  =   4.62103e-08          53          43           3           1           0      < B1.0 (no flare)
est. ISN   =             6          51          40           9           0           0      < B1.0 (no flare)
 
together                            33.50       44.00       20.00        2.50        0.00     B2.1
 
realized                                                                                      B3.2