Estimated Flare Probability ("Lev" 2.0)

based on                            A[%]        B[%]        C[%]        M[%]        X[%]      median
--------------------------         -----       -----       -----       -----       -----      ------
LYRA ch2-3 =    0.00227252          17          48          31           4           0        B5.5
LYRA ch2-4 =   0.000862855          13          46          37           4           0        B7.3
GOES Xray  =   4.86187e-08          48          46           5           1           0        B1.1
est. ISN   =             6          51          40           9           0           0      < B1.0 (no flare)
 
together                            32.25       45.00       20.50        2.25        0.00     B2.5
 
realized                                                                                      B3.1