Estimated Flare Probability ("Lev" 2.0)

based on                            A[%]        B[%]        C[%]        M[%]        X[%]      median
--------------------------         -----       -----       -----       -----       -----      ------
LYRA ch2-3 =    0.00227846          15          47          34           4           0        B5.8
LYRA ch2-4 =   0.000873909          12          46          37           5           0        B7.1
GOES Xray  =   7.29280e-08          11          70          17           2           0        B2.8
est. ISN   =             7          51          40           9           0           0      < B1.0 (no flare)
 
together                            22.25       50.75       24.25        2.75        0.00     B3.6
 
realized                                                                                      B3.1